November 13, 2016

Princeton Election Consortium: Clinton had a 99 percent probability of winning [With Comment by John]

(Paul Mirengoff) On the eve of the 2012 election, I viewed the Obama-Romney as a toss-up that the challenger would, slightly more likely than not, win. After all, the polls showed the president up by only around 1 point nationally and late deciders are thought generally to break against the incumbent. When I expressed this view to members of the smart set — both just before and just after the election —

Source: Power LinePower Line